2016 Aries Ingress Presidential Election Post-Mortem
Since Donald Trump won the 2016 Presidential election, which I had speculated he would lose, I re-examined the 2016 Aries Ingress to identify precursors of his victory. Astrology is perfect as it speaks through celestial messengers, even though astrologers err. The Aries Ingresses set for Washington, D.C. have previously accurately predicted whether the incumbent party would hold onto power, so I am optimistic that the Ingress was correct in 2016 as well, but I misread it.
The tenth house belongs to the incumbent party, the Democrats, and Hillary Clinton. The fourth house represents the Republican Party and their candidate, Donald Trump. On its face, the Aries Ingress looks excellent for the Republican Party. The ruler of the fourth house, Jupiter, applies to an immediate square with Saturn in Sagittarius. When a party’s ruler receives another planet into a major dignity, as here Jupiter receives Saturn into Jupiter’s domicile, we confidently predict victory for the party whose house Jupiter rules.
In the 2016 Aries Ingress, however, Jupiter was right on the tenth house cusp, which in certain past years (we must go back a long ways, to 1884 and 1888; one party’s ruler on the other’s cusp is rare) indicated that the tenth house, ruled by the Democratic Party, would capture Jupiter for their own ends. In 2016, that was not the case. It may be that Jupiter’s retrograde motion subverted the past pattern. Another possibility is that one party’s ruler on the other’s cusp means that the challenging party wins, full stop. We have only a small handful of examples, so while it is difficult to draw categorical conclusions, we have at least two hypotheses to test with future charts.
A reader suggested that we should look at the 2016 Libra Ingress instead. According to Masha’allah’s Revolution of the Years of the World, the sign rising in the 2016 Aries Ingress determines whether we should examine the other Ingresses of the year. If we follow Masha’allah’s rule literally, we would need to review the Libra Ingress, which precedes the Presidential election. Here is the chart:
Neither the fourth nor tenth house ruler aspects another planet that the ruler receives, which is the usual indication of the winning party. In previous Aries Ingresses, the absence of such a received aspect indicated the status quo would remain and the incumbent party would stay in power. Clearly, the Libra Ingress is not helpful in combination with this method.
What’s next for the technique? It works, now and in the past, though the universe does not always serve up perfect charts that align with existing hypotheses. The 2016 Aries Ingress’s refractory mystique has captivated me, and I shall study future Ingresses with great interest.
J. Lee Lehman
February 26, 2017 @ 11:53 am
This is a tough situation. In my own modeling, based on Bonatti’s rules of warfare, the model has incorrectly predicted the outcome in three out of four cases where the Electoral College vote was different from the popular vote. My model, in other words, predicts the popular vote. If we suspect that Electoral College wins against the popular vote are going to become more frequent, then we may have a problem, both astrologically and politically. In fact, we also don’t know whether we need to know more about how a party exceeds expectations in order to see that scenario astrologically. But if we can find a signature than means “different Electoral College outcome,” then again, we can make a good specific prediction.
Gary C Calderone
October 12, 2018 @ 7:44 am
The Electoral College is one of the last vestiges of slavery in this country and was given as a sop to the slave states. It only seems to ever help the ‘red’ states. I wish it would be abolished – like slavery.
July 17, 2017 @ 10:11 pm
Using John Frawley’s techniques for contest prediction, the ruler of the 4th on top of the 10th cusp is among the strongest indicators of victory for the 4th (or vice versa). Also, 10th lord inside the 4th and combust is more indication of victory for the 4th. Jupiter on the 10th cusp usually benefits that cusp, but being the 4th lord in this case changes everything. The 4th lord has stormed the 10th, while 10th lord is trapped in the enemy’s castle.
January 29, 2019 @ 2:40 am
About that last sentence, yes Jupiter HAS stormed the tenth but:
Jupiter is also like an army besieging a city, but withdrawing:
In detriment. Feeling sick.
It’s retrograde. Therefore losing power.
The trick is: don’t use Jupiter as Lord 4, use it as Lord 1 only.
And Mercury as Lord 7 only. That’s rule number 1, when Lords 1&4 and Lords7&10 are the same.
Second: ALWAYS use antiscia of these Lords to find out where they will end up finally. Rule nr.2
For more on this:https://www.ninagryphon.com/2016-aries-ingress-prediction-litigation/#comment-4195
September 23, 2018 @ 9:03 pm
I am very interested to hear predictions for the 2018 mid-term elections.
October 7, 2018 @ 8:04 pm
Jason, I don’t know how to forecast the midterms, as I have only studied the presidential elections. Non-occultly speaking, there is always fivethirtyeight.com.
Gary C Calderone
October 12, 2018 @ 8:48 am
I can see some indicators of a win for the republicans in this chart. The Sun rules the Dems and although he is applying to Jupiter, the Sun has just entered his Fall and when a planet’s dignity is just changing, it is most powerful. In Whole Sign Houses, the Sun is also in the 12th! Also, the 10th from the 10th (victory of the Dems) is Venus in the 12th and she is just about to enter he detriment – a change for the worse.
Saturn ruling the repubs is in a mixed mutual reception (domicile and exaltation) with Jupiter, they are applying to sexile and both of them are in sect (they are diurnal planets). The ruler of the 10th from the 4th (the 1st) is victory for the repubs and lord Mars (though out of sect – he is nocturnal) he is in his own term (bounds) and is about to enter his *exaltation* – a change for the better! If we read the Moon as ‘the people’ in Gemini in the 8th, it could indicate anger and fear (the 8th) and in a mutable sign changeability, perhaps confusion or fickleness. The Moon separates from 1 ruler of the repubs and applies to the other by opposition. Perhaps this indicates the fact that he only won due to the Electoral College and it was followed by much anger, protest and consternation. I used here techniques that I learned from Frawley as well as Hellenistic astrology and although hindsight is always 20/20, I do think that this chart has validity in indicating who would take the White House.
October 23, 2018 @ 10:57 am
Gary, I spent some years reviewing all presidential election year Aries Ingresses since the mid-19th century. There are some typical indications that show a change of party control; sign changes of each party’s significator are appealing but are not reliable. Unfortunately, the 2016 Ingress was just different than any of the years I examined, so it was more of a toss-up as to which party would prevail. I will have to write a book on this one day!